Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1222.156610 1381.143895 1555.480121 1761.240564 1997.969152 2262.396294 2580.971299
2025-12-14 946.271641 1152.111594 1397.413067 1712.956428 2110.476598 2597.770034 3245.119868
2025-12-21 788.031220 1006.891266 1282.265147 1657.297990 2159.534440 2815.634095 3748.678061
2025-12-28 717.699736 954.764029 1266.970858 1713.309556 2343.293610 3213.149078 4526.869655
2026-01-04 653.687173 899.659595 1236.358821 1738.106202 2479.180989 3553.107047 5263.574652
2026-01-11 599.297983 849.729914 1204.390120 1752.733347 2596.223714 3873.158066 6008.204470
2026-01-18 553.262380 805.702912 1174.330697 1763.654952 2704.538726 4187.534709 6782.032875
2026-01-25 522.430661 780.209616 1167.702366 1807.245370 2865.415411 4599.641462 7770.964063
2026-02-01 491.012111 750.265569 1150.410832 1830.440325 2993.343122 4969.749379 8737.479072
2026-02-08 460.651620 718.834116 1127.152169 1840.153668 3097.576287 5308.888671 9694.077741
2026-02-15 435.680375 693.580604 1111.025283 1859.155538 3218.278497 5688.997938 10781.470055
2026-02-22 416.290563 675.617294 1104.908842 1893.991445 3369.807881 6141.809786 12078.867546
2026-03-01 383.306868 632.862775 1054.352130 1846.896739 3368.608984 6312.953842 12844.720085
2026-03-08 353.064793 592.519114 1004.748922 1796.918418 3356.797011 6462.948334 13593.824583
2026-03-15 324.657716 553.088938 953.335977 1738.133439 3320.261079 6556.626647 14230.456168
2026-03-22 316.016354 548.056174 963.251274 1797.225141 3526.715289 7181.581305 16195.997522
2026-03-29 303.472509 534.868919 956.877695 1823.386653 3667.564609 7683.656474 17958.875887
2026-04-05 290.544700 519.926123 945.849457 1838.820316 3786.865772 8153.073268 19726.671424
2026-04-12 278.154025 505.029289 933.610852 1850.344636 3898.542430 8619.443357 21574.482357
2026-04-19 270.603715 498.796154 937.672481 1896.345202 4092.752419 9307.439742 24156.511991
2026-04-26 261.169334 488.168542 932.065869 1920.825564 4239.993764 9901.562101 26597.681622
2026-05-03 250.905684 475.149465 920.549929 1931.077797 4354.575496 10429.641673 28956.728616
2026-05-10 242.287004 464.819265 913.734533 1951.134891 4495.212684 11045.314704 31714.388700